Forecasting

  • Oct 5, 2022
The 1938 Long Island/New England Hurricane - A Retrospective
September 19, 2023
The 1938 Long Island/New England Hurricane - A Retrospective

The 1938 Hurricane, a rare and devastating event, struck Long Island and New England on September 21, 1938, causing over 685 fatalities and widespread damage. Join us for a comprehensive discussion on the storm's impact, including a forecast review, and explore how current forecasting capabilities could mitigate similar risks in the future.

By Lourdes B. Avilés and Louis Uccellini
Weather, Climate, and the Boys of Summer: A Fall Classic Conversation
October 30, 2023
Weather, Climate, and the Boys of Summer: A Fall Classic Conversation
By Chris Vagasky
Extreme Weather Events: 2023 In Review
December 28, 2023
Extreme Weather Events: 2023 In Review

WeatherNation's Lead Meteorologist Steve Glazier recaps the top ten weather events in the United States this year. 

Severe Convective Storms: Past, Present, and Future
November 23, 2021
Severe Convective Storms: Past, Present, and Future

In this fascinating and informative talk, Dr. Victor Gensini of Northern Illinois University walks through the environmental forces behind tornadoes and hail, how climate change is impacting severe weather, and how we can better predict severe weather across various time scales. 

The New Climate Normals
August 26, 2021
The New Climate Normals

Join Derek Arndt, Director of the Center for Weather & Climate at National Centers for Environmental Information and AMS Councilmember, for a presentation on NOAA’s new climate normals and what that means for weather forecasting, agricultural decisions, and much more! 

Numerical Weather Prediction & Model Performance: What Everyone Should Know
May 16, 2022
Numerical Weather Prediction & Model Performance: What Everyone Should Know
Getting Ready for an El Niño Winter: 2023–2024 Outlook
November 14, 2023
Getting Ready for an El Niño Winter: 2023–2024 Outlook

Get ready for the first El Niño winter since 2018-19. Likely to be the strongest El Niño in more than a decade, this will be one of the main factors affecting global weather patterns this winter. 

By Douglas Hilderbrand and Katie Pflaumer
Weather, Climate, and the Boys of Summer: A Fall Classic Conversation
October 26, 2023
Weather, Climate, and the Boys of Summer: A Fall Classic Conversation

Our Weather Band webinar, "Weather, Climate, and the Boys of Summer: A Fall Classic Conversation" promises to uncover the intriguing connections between weather, climate, and America's beloved pastime, baseball. During this event, we will explore topics such as weather-related game delays, weather and temperature’s impact on player performance, and the potential exacerbation of these effects by a changing climate. 

Inside the Hurricane Hunters
May 11, 2021
Inside the Hurricane Hunters

Lt. Col. Nicole Mitchell takes the AMS Weather Band inside the missions and experiences of the renowned Hurricane Hunters! This special event also features discussion with Bryan Norcross as moderator.

Lake Effect Snow:  The Most Intense Snow On Earth
December 21, 2020
Lake Effect Snow: The Most Intense Snow On Earth

Join Warning Coordination Meteorologist Erik Heden as he covers the processes behind lake effect snow, how to forecast lake effect snow, and some historical lake effect storms that have occurred.

Catastrophic Midwest Derecho of August 10, 2020
December 10, 2020
Catastrophic Midwest Derecho of August 10, 2020

Explore the meteorology behind the most destructive thunderstorm complex in U.S. history in this exciting webinar with renowned meteorologist and science writer Bob Henson. 

By Bob Henson
Nudge Theory and Choice Architecture: Can Weather Social Science Be this Simple?
October 26, 2023
Nudge Theory and Choice Architecture: Can Weather Social Science Be this Simple?

Interest in integrating social science into meteorology has grown significantly in recent years, leading to substantial research in the field. However, a major challenge lies in defining and measuring success in communication, particularly regarding weather resilience, raising questions about the criteria for "effective communication" and who determines it.

By Kim Klockow McClain
A Cat. 5 Five Years Later... the Lasting Legacy of Hurricane Michael
October 10, 2023
A Cat. 5 Five Years Later... the Lasting Legacy of Hurricane Michael

On October 10, 2018, Hurricane Michael made landfall near Mexico Beach, Florida, and became the first Category 5 hurricane to make landfall in the contiguous United States since Hurricane Andrew in 1992.

Cultivating a Model for Post-Tornado Fieldwork at NSSL
October 9, 2023
Cultivating a Model for Post-Tornado Fieldwork at NSSL

In just a few decades’ time, the physical science of meteorology has evolved rapidly, aided in part by increasingly sophisticated field campaigns of many kinds. Spurred by an explosion of scientific development, including improved theoretical and empirical research in recent years, alongside growth in the hiring of social scientists within meteorological organizations, social science fieldwork is now experiencing its own surge of growth. This article will describe a little bit of the NSSL team’s approach, highlighting our study of the December 10, 2021 tornado outbreak as an example of what we hope to do for many key events now and in the future.

By Kim Klockow McClain
Nearing The Peak: September Expectations for the Hurricane Season
September 12, 2023
Nearing The Peak: September Expectations for the Hurricane Season

With September historically being the busiest month for hurricanes in the tropical Atlantic, what lies ahead for the rest of this season? Dr. Ryan Truchelut of WeatherTiger explores the influence of El Niño and record-warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures on the upcoming months, as we approach the peak of hurricane activity.

Personal Reflections on the Evolution of Weather Forecasting with Dr. Robert Atlas
May 5, 2023
Personal Reflections on the Evolution of Weather Forecasting with Dr. Robert Atlas

Dr. Atlas highlights from some of the research that he has been involved in over the last 50 years and shares his personal experiences.

By Robert Atlas
The Mission to Improve Social Science Data Collection
August 30, 2023
The Mission to Improve Social Science Data Collection

Efforts are underway to collect real-event observations, like post-tornado surveys, to better understand human behavior during weather events. Organizations, including the National Severe Storms Laboratory and National Weather Service, are using standardized surveys and citizen science apps to gather data and improve insights into meteorological questions.

By Kim Klockow McClain
August 23, 2023
Towards the "Perfect" Weather Warning

In this webinar, Brian Golding will discuss how the weather enterprise can collaborate to deliver more effective warnings that save lives and reduce disruption during extreme weather in our changing climate conditions.

Impact-Based Forecasts & Warnings
July 25, 2023
Impact-Based Forecasts & Warnings

In this webinar, Sally Potter gives us an overview of her research on impact-based forecasts and warnings, as well as on the challenges and benefits from an institutional perspective.

Spring Season Review: Won't soon be forgotten
July 20, 2023
Spring Season Review: Won't soon be forgotten

In this webinar, panelists discuss these and more recent weather phenomena of 2023.