Forecasting

On May 3, 1999, the first-ever tornado to receive the "tornado emergency" distinction tore across central Oklahoma. That tornado was so high-end, and so close to a large metropolitan area, that forecasters decided to invoke "emergency" to convey a sense of the unusually serious peril. 

NHC Director Dr. Mike Brennan highlights improvements to NWS products and services and discusses recent social media chatter on creating a Category 6.
 

Our experts highlighted the significance of global weather models in forecasting, discussing their recent performance improvements and upcoming upgrades.

Climate Central and the American Meteorological Society explore attribution science, highlighting climate change's impact on weather, from extreme events to everyday temperatures, and how meteorologists are integrating these insights into their work and using new tools to understand how our changing climate is changing our weather.

The panel looks at the coverage of weather events by the media, including story selection, geographic bias, and maintaining public trust in news sources, offering insights on effective science communication.

The 1938 Hurricane, a rare and devastating event, struck Long Island and New England on September 21, 1938, causing over 685 fatalities and widespread damage. Join us for a comprehensive discussion on the storm's impact, including a forecast review, and explore how current forecasting capabilities could mitigate similar risks in the future.

WeatherNation's Lead Meteorologist Steve Glazier recaps the top ten weather events in the United States this year. 

In this fascinating and informative talk, Dr. Victor Gensini of Northern Illinois University walks through the environmental forces behind tornadoes and hail, how climate change is impacting severe weather, and how we can better predict severe weather across various time scales. 

Join Derek Arndt, Director of the Center for Weather & Climate at National Centers for Environmental Information and AMS Councilmember, for a presentation on NOAA’s new climate normals and what that means for weather forecasting, agricultural decisions, and much more! 

Get ready for the first El Niño winter since 2018-19. Likely to be the strongest El Niño in more than a decade, this will be one of the main factors affecting global weather patterns this winter. 

Our Weather Band webinar, "Weather, Climate, and the Boys of Summer: A Fall Classic Conversation" promises to uncover the intriguing connections between weather, climate, and America's beloved pastime, baseball. During this event, we will explore topics such as weather-related game delays, weather and temperature’s impact on player performance, and the potential exacerbation of these effects by a changing climate. 

Lt. Col. Nicole Mitchell takes the AMS Weather Band inside the missions and experiences of the renowned Hurricane Hunters! This special event also features discussion with Bryan Norcross as moderator.

Join Warning Coordination Meteorologist Erik Heden as he covers the processes behind lake effect snow, how to forecast lake effect snow, and some historical lake effect storms that have occurred.

Explore the meteorology behind the most destructive thunderstorm complex in U.S. history in this exciting webinar with renowned meteorologist and science writer Bob Henson. 

Interest in integrating social science into meteorology has grown significantly in recent years, leading to substantial research in the field. However, a major challenge lies in defining and measuring success in communication, particularly regarding weather resilience, raising questions about the criteria for "effective communication" and who determines it.

On October 10, 2018, Hurricane Michael made landfall near Mexico Beach, Florida, and became the first Category 5 hurricane to make landfall in the contiguous United States since Hurricane Andrew in 1992.